India's economic growth rate in 2012-13 pegged lowest in a decade CSO
This estimate by CSO is drastically lower than what has been projected thus far by the government and RBI.
"The growth in GDP (Gross Domestic Product) during 2012-13 is estimated at 5% as compared to a growth rate of 6.2% in 2011-12," according to the Advanced Estimates released today by the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO).
In 2002-03, the GDP had grown at 4%. Since then the Indian economy has been expanding at over 6%, the highest rate being 9.6% in 2006-07.
CSO's advance estimate lowered the growth in agriculture and allied activities to 1.8% in 2012-13, compared to 3.6% 2011-12.
Manufacturing growth is also expected to drop to 1.9% in this fiscal, from 2.7% last year.
The CSO's GDP growth projection is a lower than the 5.5% forecast made by the Reserve Bank in its quarterly monetary policy review last week.
In its mid-year Economic Review, the government had also estimated growth ranging from 5.7-5.9%. The current estimate is a sharply lower than the 7.6% growth projection for 2012-13 made by government in Budget.
The latest estimate of 5% for the entire fiscal means that the pace of economic expansion has slowed sharply in the second half of 2012-13, given that GDP growth in the April-September period stood at 5.4%.
According to the advance estimates, the services sector including finance, insurance, real estate and business services sectors are likely to grow by 8.6% this fiscal, against 11.7% last fiscal.
However the growth in the mining and quarrying is likely be slightly better at 0.4%, compared to contraction of growth of 0.6% a year ago.
Growth in construction is also likely to be 5.9% in 2012-13, against 5.6% last year.
According to the CSO's advance estimates, growth in electricity, gas and water production is likely to decline to 4.9% in 2012-13, from 6.5% in 2011-12.
During the current fiscal, the trade, hotel, transport and communication sectors are projected to grow by 5.2%, as against 7% last fiscal.
Community social and personal services growth however would be slightly better at 6.8%, compared to 6% in previous fiscal.
Overall, the 5% growth in the advanced estimates is lower than what experts have been forecasting.
Yesterday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) had said that the Indian economy would grow by 5.4% in 2012-13, but should pick up to 6% in next fiscal.
The Indian economy had expanded by 8.4% in both 2010-11 and 2009-10, while growth in 2008-09 was 6.7%.
The advance GDP estimates are released by the CSO before the end of a financial year to enable the government to formulate various estimates for inclusion in the Budget
"The growth in GDP (Gross Domestic Product) during 2012-13 is estimated at 5% as compared to a growth rate of 6.2% in 2011-12," according to the Advanced Estimates released today by the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO).
In 2002-03, the GDP had grown at 4%. Since then the Indian economy has been expanding at over 6%, the highest rate being 9.6% in 2006-07.
CSO's advance estimate lowered the growth in agriculture and allied activities to 1.8% in 2012-13, compared to 3.6% 2011-12.
Manufacturing growth is also expected to drop to 1.9% in this fiscal, from 2.7% last year.
The CSO's GDP growth projection is a lower than the 5.5% forecast made by the Reserve Bank in its quarterly monetary policy review last week.
In its mid-year Economic Review, the government had also estimated growth ranging from 5.7-5.9%. The current estimate is a sharply lower than the 7.6% growth projection for 2012-13 made by government in Budget.
The latest estimate of 5% for the entire fiscal means that the pace of economic expansion has slowed sharply in the second half of 2012-13, given that GDP growth in the April-September period stood at 5.4%.
According to the advance estimates, the services sector including finance, insurance, real estate and business services sectors are likely to grow by 8.6% this fiscal, against 11.7% last fiscal.
However the growth in the mining and quarrying is likely be slightly better at 0.4%, compared to contraction of growth of 0.6% a year ago.
Growth in construction is also likely to be 5.9% in 2012-13, against 5.6% last year.
According to the CSO's advance estimates, growth in electricity, gas and water production is likely to decline to 4.9% in 2012-13, from 6.5% in 2011-12.
During the current fiscal, the trade, hotel, transport and communication sectors are projected to grow by 5.2%, as against 7% last fiscal.
Community social and personal services growth however would be slightly better at 6.8%, compared to 6% in previous fiscal.
Overall, the 5% growth in the advanced estimates is lower than what experts have been forecasting.
Yesterday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) had said that the Indian economy would grow by 5.4% in 2012-13, but should pick up to 6% in next fiscal.
The Indian economy had expanded by 8.4% in both 2010-11 and 2009-10, while growth in 2008-09 was 6.7%.
The advance GDP estimates are released by the CSO before the end of a financial year to enable the government to formulate various estimates for inclusion in the Budget